Discussion on divergent gas policies of Warsaw and Berlin

Looking at the recent events, it does not seem likely that cooperation between Poland and Germany on cutting monopoly undertakings of Gazprom becomes real. One of the key issue that specialists highlight is the fact that when it comes to Germany – Russia relations, it is Russia that is more interested in smooth cooperation. Even though possible disagreement would generate vast expenses for both parties, it is Russia that is more dependent on Germany. Another point in favour of the stronger position of Germany is the fact that it is Germany that is the number one economic partner for the Russians (as opposed to Poland, which is treated as one of many countries Moscow is cooperating with).

The cautious policy towards Germany may be explained by the structure of gas imports. Germany as the biggest importer of the substance in the EU obtains it from various sources, the biggest of which is Russia (annually, Germany import over 30 billion m3 of gas). Imports from Russia cover 38% of all German imports of the substance, the remaining partners are Norway (responsible for approximately 26 percent) and the Netherlands (20 percent). In Poland’s case, Russian gas comprises 60 percent of imports. It should be noted that, even though Germany’s sources of import are diversified, the continuing shrinking of resources may cause greater dependency of Berlin on Moscow. An additional problem for the Germans is the fact that our Western neighbour does not have an LNG terminal allowing for supplies of the substance by sea.

The projected Nord Stream 2 will allow Germany become the most important European gas transmission country, as in the area near Greifswald 110 billion m3 of gas will be annually pumped into the EU transmission network. It appears that Germany place their bets on Russian gas and changing the course of their policy towards Moscow is not likely to happen. As to Germany, they are sparing with commenting on the issue of EU gas policy.

Apart from the aforementioned arguments, there is one more that may explain the current stance of Berlin, i.e. the pressure of industrialists on politicians. The industry is happy to cooperate with the Russian gas sector, and treats Gazprom as the leading supplier of fuel. It appears that in the current situation introducing a common Polish-German policy on stopping Gazprom building their monopoly in Europe is impossible.

Business Implications for Poland

Economic and regulatory developments in Poland have broad implications for businesses operating in the country. Poland’s economy, the largest in Central and Eastern Europe, continues to attract international investors and entrepreneurs seeking EU market access, competitive costs, and a skilled workforce of over 17 million workers.

For foreign companies and entrepreneurs doing business in Poland, staying informed about economic trends, regulatory changes, and market dynamics is essential for strategic decision-making. Whether you are considering entering the Polish market, expanding existing operations, or optimizing your corporate structure, professional advisory support can help navigate the complexities of the Polish business environment.

Poland offers a comprehensive business infrastructure including special economic zones with tax incentives, a well-developed banking system, modern office space in major cities, and a legal framework aligned with EU standards. These factors, combined with Poland’s strategic geographic position between Western and Eastern Europe, make it an attractive hub for businesses targeting the broader European market.

If you are doing business in Poland or considering entering the Polish market, Zalewski Consulting can help. Learn more about our EU residence and business services, or contact us for a free consultation.